Understanding the Numbers
How big was the study and how long did it last?
Some studies in the news involve just a handful of people. In general, you can have more confidence in the findings from studies that involve hundreds or thousands of participants.
What do the numbers mean?
Numbers can be confusing. And news reports often make medical conditions seem more common than they actually are. For example, a report may say that a certain factor may "double the risk" of getting a given condition. But if the risk goes from 1% to 2%, that's still small. On the flip side, a drug may cut the risk of getting a condition in half, but if the risk is low to begin with, taking the drug may not be worth it.
Consider numbers from different perspectives. A child who has a 5% chance of getting a disease has a 95% chance of not getting it.
Where are the results published?
Look for studies that are published in academic research journals such as the Journal of the American Medical Association, Pediatrics, and The New England Journal of Medicine. The groups that issue these journals carefully scrutinize studies before publishing them. That means you can usually trust what appears in them.
But the research that appears in the journals can get inadvertently distorted in news reports. Reporters cramming complicated information into a short story may oversimplify and make findings seem more conclusive than they are. They also may fail to mention the treatment's downsides. If possible, look up the original source. Many journals can be read for free at local public libraries or online (where non-subscribers may be charged a fee).
Who funded the research?
A lot of research is funded by the federal government, particularly the National Institutes of Health (NIH). Government-sponsored studies are usually credible, since the researchers and the work that they do has to be carefully evaluated before they can get funding from the government for the study.
It's becoming more common for pharmaceutical companies and the makers of medical devices to fund clinical research. That doesn't mean the findings are tainted, but you should take the funding source into consideration. Medical journals list where the funding for a study came from. They also require researchers to disclose conflicts of interest, such as if one of the researchers who conducted the study owns stock in a company that could benefit from positive results.
How do the findings compare with previous studies?
Often, studies make the headlines because they tend to contradict conventional thinking. In truth, it's rare for a single study to be the final word.
Be especially cautious regarding studies whose conclusions are vastly different than the existing body of research. Most medical thinking emerges from conclusions drawn from many studies over time, and often there are contradictions along the way.
Acting on Medical News
Never diagnose your child or stop a medical treatment based on something in a news report. Instead, when you read or hear about a study that you think might affect your family's health, talk with your doctor.
Reviewed by: Steven Dowshen, MD
Date reviewed: February 2012